Thursday, September 30, 2010

NFL Week 4 Bettor's Guide

(Ha.)
(For the record, I asked Snyder to sign Vick. We'd be much better off, and we'd probably also have Brandon Marshall. Just sayin...)

Bad week last week. Well, the numbers say average, but I'm too good for average. Average doesn't make MONEY.

W/L: 8-8 (25-23)
ATS: 7-9 (21-25-2)
O/U: 7-9 (25-22-1)

(+235) Denver Broncos
(-275) TENNESSEE TITANS (-7)
O/U 43
I'm taking the Titans because they're a lot better, I think, though Denver could easily make this close. Just don't see an answer for Chris Johnson. Broncos 17 Titans 31


(+110) Baltimore Ravens
(-130) PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-2)
O/U 34.5
Baltimore is reeling, whether it looks it to you or not. Mendenhall is in beast mode and Flacco might turn the ball over 5 times. Ravens 13 Steelers 27


(-165) Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
(+145) CLEVELAND BROWNS

O/U 37.5
The Cleveland Browns are a weird team. Maybe it's that their offensive line is too good for them to lose control of any game? (It doesn't hurt that their schedule hasn't featured any particularly potent offenses.) I still say Cincy wins but it'll be a tough game. Bengals 21 Browns 17


(OFF) Detroit Lions
(OFF) GREEN BAY PACKERS (-14.5)
O/U 45.5
MASSACRE. Lions 13 Packers 44


(OFF) Carolina Panthers
(OFF) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-14)
O/U 44
Another beatdown, though I think the Panthers might turn a turnover into a few more points than they otherwise would get. Panthers 17 Saints 38


(+250) San Francisco 49ers
(-300) ATLANTA FALCONS (-7)
O/U 42.5
I still think the 9ers are too talented to be THIS bad. They have a new offensive coordinator, and they're saying Alex Smith will be playing from the gun a lot more... man, I dunno. Gimme the points. 49ers 24 Falcons 27


(-120) Seattle Seahawks (-1)
(Even) ST. LOUIS RAMS
O/U 40
Seahawks are back on the road. Look for Steven Jackson to have a big impact in the passing game. Seahawks 17 Rams 24


(-250) New York Jets (-5)
(+210) BUFFALO BILLS
O/U 36.5
I mean, Buffalo sucks, and the Jets don't. Jets 24 Bills 10


(-380) Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)
(+300) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
O/U 46
.............................. Colts 45 Jaguars 13


(-175) Houston Texans (-3.5)
(+155) OAKLAND RAIDERS

O/U 43.5
I guess Houston will win this one because they can actually run the ball consistently now, but this'll be a strange game. Reluctantly taking the 3.5... Texans 29 Raiders 26


(+325) Arizona Cardinals
(-420) SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-9)
O/U 45.5
Bolts will take out their frustrations about last week on 'Zona. Cardinals 17 Chargers 34


(+205) Washington Redskins
(-245) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-6)
O/U 42.5

McNabb vs Vick. That's ultimately what it comes down to. Call me crazy - because you definitely can't call me a homer - but against my better judgement I like my 'Skins here. Ryan Torain introduces himself to the rest of the league. Redskins 24 Eagles 20


(+170) Chicago Bears
(-200) NEW YORK GIANTS (-3.5)
O/U 43.5
??? Bears 27 Giants 17

(I kinda have a feeling that Eli and Mr. Hakeem Nicks will have huge games, but whatever.)

(-120) New England Patriots (-1)
(Even) MIAMI DOLPHINS
O/U 46.5
I looked it up: Randy Moss has caught 10 TDs in his 9 career games against the 'Phins. A ratio only bested by his 10 scores in 6 games vs Dallas. Means next to nothing, but it's interesting. Miami SHOULD win this game but they just don't seem to add up to the sum of their parts. Patriots 27 Dolphins 24

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