W/L: 10-6 (17-15)
ATS: 10-6 (14-16-2)
O/U: 11-5 (18-13-1)
I used a different sportsbook this week for the odds. Not that it really matters.
(+135) Tennessee Titans
(-155) NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS (-3)
O/U 42.5
This one is tough to handicap. On one hand, the Giants' offensive line is in shambles, and the Titans have been stellar up front on defense. On the other, Vince Young still hasn't talked to Jeff Fisher about last week's benching, which isn't good for a psychologically fragile QB. Especially when he's playing a defense with the potential to get in a QB's face like the Giants. I'll go Titans 20 Giants 24, cautiously taking the G-Men to cover and the points to go over.
(+650) Buffalo Bills
(-900) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-14.5)
O/U 42.5
Buffalo made me look kinda stupid last week. I had the Packers covering, but I stuck up for 'em. Not this time. Bills 16 Patriots 44
(+425) Cleveland Browns
(-550) BALTIMORE RAVENS (-10.5)
O/U 36.5
Yikes. Browns 6 Ravens 31
(-140) Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)
(+120) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
O/U 33
Pittsburgh will bring Josh Freeman back down to earth. Still a nice story, this Bucs team. Steelers 23 Bucs 9
(-190) Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
(+160) CAROLINA PANTHERS
O/U 37.5
I can't imagine this being a close game. Bengals 27 Panthers 13
(+165) Atlanta Falcons
(-200) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5)
O/U 49
I wish I could take Atlanta but there's no way I'm betting against the Saints to lose a game with all the help they get, unless they're playing an elite team. I'll take Atlanta to cover, though. And while the scoreboard in these types of games often don't blow up like expected, I just don't see any other way. Falcons 31 Saints 34
(-140) San Francisco 49ers (-3)
(+120) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
O/U 37
The 49ers match up too perfectly with KC. They can stop the run and they take advantage of turnover opportunities. But this team, man... especially traveling... still, 49ers 20 Chiefs 16
(+450) Detroit Lions
(-600) MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-11.5)
O/U 43
The Vikings haven't been as stout as usual against the run (because Favre keeps cutting into their rest time) and Jahvid Best is trying his damnedest to convince me that he is, in fact, not dead. Still like AD in that matchup, but 11.5 points is crazy considering how badly Favre's been playing. Lions 17 Vikings 24
(+115) Dallas Cowboys
(-135) HOUSTON TEXANS (-3)
O/U 47
Houston's been firing on all cylinders so far. Dallas, well, has not. Still, Houston's been torn to shreds by opposing QBs, and I can't see Dallas starting off 0-3. Also don't know how this could be anything but a shootout. Probably one of the best games of the week. Expect big things from Dez Bryant, who practiced in full pads today (Thursday). Cowboys 38 Texans 35
(-190) Washington Redskins (-3.5)
(+160) ST. LOUIS RAMS
O/U 39
Always the skeptic, I can't help but remember how we've fared against the Lambs in the recent past. There's no way we lose this game, though. Not this year. Redskins 27 Rams 13
(-145) Philadelphia Eagles (-3)
(+125) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
O/U 45
VICK VICK VICK. I think my fantasy QBs might combine for 75 points (Vick and Brady). Eagles 30 Jaguars 21
(-250) Indianapolis Colts (-5)
(+210) DENVER BRONCOS
O/U 48
Jesus this Broncos franchise is cursed. Here's to Kenny McKinley's family and friends finding peace. Colts 30 Broncos 24 (Huge 'don't forget about me' game from Knowshon.)
(-250) San Diego Chargers (-5)
(+210) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
O/U 44.5
I wonder if these Seahawks will have a Jeckyll-and-Hyde type home-and-away year. I think the 12th man gives 'em a huge boost this week... not so much so that I'm confident they'll pull off the upset, but fuck it I'll take the points. Chargers 28 Seahawks 24
(+180) Oakland Raiders
(-220) ARIZONA CARDINALS (-4.5)
O/U 39.5
Darren McFadden could be the player of the week. Raiders 27 Cardinals 16
(+105) New York Jets
(-125) MIAMI DOLPHINS (-2)
O/U 35.5
No clue. Genuinely no clue. It's going under either way, so I'll cover myself here. Jets 14 Dolphins 16
(-150) Green Bay Packers (-3)
(+130) CHICAGO BEARS
O/U 46
Craziness. (should be a) Great MNF game. Wish Madden was calling it ha. Packers 31 Bears 28
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