Been a crazy week so due to constraints (time and other) I'll do this quickly, before last week's review. Last week was bad. Again.
W/L: 9-5 (34-28)
ATS: 6-8 (27-33-2)
O/U: 7-7 (32-29-1)
(+270) Denver Broncos
(-340) BALTIMORE RAVENS (-7)
O/U 38.5
I'm not sure what to make of these Broncos but traveling east to Baltimore's top rated pass defense should bring 'em back to earth, though 7 points seems like a sucker bet to me. Broncos 16 Ravens 20
(-110) Jacksonville Jaguars
(-110) BUFFALO BILLS
O/U 41
CJ Spiller. Jaguars 24 Bills 28
(+265) Kansas City Chiefs
(-330) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-7.5)
O/U 45
Matt Cassel scares the shit outta me against Freeney and Mathis, but to my surprise he's been sacked fewer times than any QB not named Romo (thanks to roughly 324 holds on Brian Orakpo). Still like Indy, and they'll probably cover, but I'm taking the points anyway against that run defense. Chiefs 24 Colts 30
(+135) St. Louis Rams
(-155) DETROIT LIONS (-3)
O/U 42.5
Interesting game, I like the Lions at home. Rams 17 Lions 24
(-160) Atlanta Falcons (-3)
(+140) CLEVELAND BROWNS
O/U 41.5
Peyton Hillis is hurt. Is that really an issue? Falcons 27 Browns 17
(+245) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(-290) CINCINNATI BENGALS (-6.5)
O/U 38
Tampa keeps winning on the road but they can't stop the run and Cedric Benson is legit. Buccaneers 13 Bengals 27
(EVEN) Chicago Bears
(-120) CAROLINA PANTHERS (-1)
O/U 33
Well it ain't goin over, not without Cutler playing (TODD COLLINS MIX with the start haha DEAR GOD). I can't imagine a more pathetic QB showdown. You know what, I refuse to pick this game since I'll be forced to get this trash instead of Skins-Packers (which I'm only now realizing FUCK). SUE ME.
(-135) Green Bay Packers (-2.5)
(+115) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
(O/U 44
Brian Orakpo finally has a game where he doesn't get held 90% of the time he's on the field. I hope. WELCOME TO THE NFL RYAN TORAIN. Packers 27 Redskins 31
(+135) New York Football Giants
(-155) HOUSTON TEXANS (-3)
O/U 47.5
Should definitely go over. I guess I'll take Houston but I really don't know. Giants 24 Texans 28
(-280) San Diego Chargers (-6.5)
(+240) OAKLAND RAIDERS
O/U 45
McFadden is likely out and both Mike Tolbert and Ryan Mathews ran well last week; Oakland can't stop the run. I didn't even mention Phil Rivers. Chargers 34 Raiders 17
(+255) Tennessee Titans
(-310) DALLAS COWBOYS (-7)
O/U 41.5
I can't see this not going over. Dez Bryant is healthy (hopefully a factor - for me, anyway) and Chris Johnson is due for a big game. Titans 20 Cowboys 28
(-290) New Orleans Saints (-7)
(+240) ARIZONA CARDINALS
O/U 44.5
Seven? Brees is hurt and I've made the Brees/Nash comparisons on several occasions (both obscenely indispensable, given their respective offensive systems). But 'Zona is shit. But they'll run the ball and they are at home... nah. Saints 34 Cardinals 16
(+155) Philadelphia Eagles
(-175) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-3.5)
O/U 38
Kevin Kolb. I hope I'm wrong since I have to start him. Eagles 16 49ers 24
(+162) Minnesota Vikings
(-185) NEW YORK JETS (-4)
O/U 39
I think Moss (and him being in a new system) against Revis (and his hammy) will be the difference. I want Moss to win that matchup ('cause Revis needs to watch his damn mouth) but I hate Favre. Shucks. Vikings 14 Jets 17
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